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Free hypergeometric distribution calculator. Calculate probabilities for sampling without replacement with step-by-step statistical solutions. Our calculator uses the hypergeometric formula P(X=k) = [C(K,k) × C(N-K,n-k)] / C(N,n) to compute exact probabilities for finite population sampling.
Last updated: February 2, 2026
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Total number of items in the population
Number of success items in the population
Number of items drawn from population
Number of successes you want in your sample
P(X = 2):
0.274280
27.4280% probability
Mean (μ):
1.2500
Expected value
Std Dev (σ):
0.9295
√variance
Variance (σ²):
0.8640
Formulas Used:
Calculation Steps:
Key Concepts:
Formula
P(X=k) = [C(K,k)×C(N-K,n-k)] / C(N,n)
Exact probability for sampling without replacement
Formula
μ = n × K / N
Expected number of successes in sample
Formula
σ² = n×K×(N-K)×(N-n) / [N²(N-1)]
Includes finite population correction
Key Feature
No Replacement
Probabilities change with each draw
Method
C(n,k) = n! / (k!(n-k)!)
Counts ways to choose k items from n
Application
Lot Sampling
Inspect batches for defective items
Drawing 5 cards from a deck, probability of getting exactly 2 hearts
N=52 cards, K=13 hearts, n=5 cards drawn, k=2 hearts desired
Probability
0.2743
27.43% chance
Our hypergeometric distribution calculator computes probabilities for sampling without replacement from finite populations. The calculator uses combinatorial mathematics to calculate the exact probability of getting a specific number of successes in a sample.
Probability Mass Function:
P(X = k) = [C(K,k) × C(N-K, n-k)] / C(N,n)Where:
Mean (Expected Value):
μ = n × K / NVariance:
σ² = n × K × (N-K) × (N-n) / [N² × (N-1)]The hypergeometric distribution models sampling without replacement, where each draw changes the composition of the remaining population. The factor (N-n)/(N-1) is the finite population correction that distinguishes it from the binomial distribution.
The hypergeometric distribution is based on combinatorics. The numerator counts favorable outcomes: C(K,k) ways to choose k successes from K available, times C(N-K,n-k) ways to choose the remaining items from failures. The denominator C(N,n) counts all possible ways to choose n items from N. The ratio gives the exact probability.
Need other statistical tools? Check out our variance calculator and geometric mean calculator.
Get Custom Calculator for Your PlatformResult: P(X = 2) = 0.2743 (27.43%)
Expected mean: μ = 5 × 13/52 = 1.25 hearts per hand
Batch of 100 items, 10 defective. Sample 20 items.
P(exactly 3 defective) = hypergeometric(100, 10, 20, 3)
Choose 6 from 49 numbers, 5 are winners
P(matching k numbers) uses hypergeometric
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